The Risks of Playing the Lottery


The lottery is a form of gambling where people pay for a ticket, select a group of numbers or have machines randomly spit out numbers and then win prizes if enough of their numbers match those drawn by the machine. Lottery winners can win anything from a new house to a vacation and from cash to luxury cars. It’s a popular pastime that attracts millions of players each week in the U.S. People spend upward of $100 billion on tickets every year. It’s also a fixture in American culture, with billboards promoting the jackpots of Powerball and Mega Millions abounding. People who play the lottery can often feel that they are performing their civic duty by helping their state or “saving the children.” It’s not clear, however, just how meaningful that revenue is for broader state budgets and it’s worth considering the risks of playing the game.

In the United States, most states and the District of Columbia have some sort of lottery. It’s the most popular form of gambling in the country and it contributes to billions of dollars in state revenues annually. Some people play just for fun, but others believe that it’s the key to a better life. I’ve interviewed many lottery players, including some who have been playing for years and spending $50 or $100 a week. It’s easy to assume that these people are irrational and don’t know the odds are low, but in fact, many of them have a deep-seated desire to win.

Most states promote the idea that lotteries help their budgets. The idea is that the lottery money helps fund the social safety nets of a state without placing too much of a burden on the middle and working classes. This was a major selling point for the lottery during the immediate post-World War II period when states were expanding their array of services and wanted to avoid putting too much of a strain on those who didn’t have as great a benefit from government programs.

But this argument misses the mark because lottery proceeds are only a small part of state budgets. More importantly, it ignores the fact that the benefits of the lottery are almost entirely distributed to upper and middle class voters. This arrangement is similar to the one that exists for sports betting. It’s a form of taxation that benefits a few while imposing significant costs on the rest. It’s time to stop ignoring this reality and start arguing for changes that reduce the impact of the lottery on ordinary Americans. This can be done by lowering the odds and raising the payouts of the games. It may take a while, but that’s the only way to fix a problem this big. By Dan Ariely, behavioral economist, author, and speaker.